RB LEIPZIG VS FREIBURG (Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips) / 27.04.2019

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A five-game Bundesliga winning run – topped off with an impressive 2-1 victory at Gladbach last weekend – has cemented RB Leipzig’s third-place credentials. However at home they have drawn three of their last five league matches (W2, D3), although impressively the hosts did pick up four clean sheets in the process.
With that in mind, it should come as no surprise that Leipzig possess the division’s meanest home defence, conceding just 0.53 goals per fixture on average, while also netting a handy 2.13 goals themselves. As such, seven of their nine top-flight home victories this term have arrived by a two-goal margin or more.
Opponents Freiburg are on a sorry seven-game Bundesliga away winless streak (D3, L4), conceding an average of 2.14 goals per game across that period, whilst netting an average of 0.71. Three of the four losses during that time arrived by a margin of two or more goals.
If the visitors want to halt that poor away form, tightening their defence as the game draws on has to be a priority. That’s because more than half (51.72%) of the league goals they’ve conceded on the road have arrived after the 60th minute. They will also have to avoid conceding the opener – Freiburg are winless in the nine top-flight away games in which they conceded the first match goal (D2, L7).
Players to watch: Ten of Timo Werner’s (RBL) 14 Bundesliga goals have been scored at home. Meanwhile five of Gian-Luca Waldschmidt’s (FRE) eight league goals were netted after half-time.
Stat attack: Leipzig have scored over 1.5 first-half goals in 46.67% of their Bundesliga home games.
Both teams have scored in 60% of Freiburg’s away league fixtures.
There’s been over 2.5 goals in all five top-flight H2Hs. Three featured over 3.5.

Head-to-head matches: RB LEIPZIG – FREIBURG
08.12.18 BUN Freiburg 3-0 RB Leipzig
20.01.18 BUN Freiburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
27.08.17 BUN RB Leipzig 4-1 Freiburg
15.04.17 BUN RB Leipzig 4-0 Freiburg
25.11.16 BUN Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig

Betting tips we recommend:
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Selection odds: 1,53
Bookmaker: LS Bet

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